TU Delft
Year
NEDERLANDSENGLISH
Organization
Education Type
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2017/2018 Technology, Policy and Management Master Engineering and Policy Analysis
EPA1323
Introduction to TPM Modelling
ECTS: 5
Module Manager
Name E-mail
Dr. E. Pruyt    E.Pruyt@tudelft.nl
Instructor
Name E-mail
Dr. E. Pruyt    E.Pruyt@tudelft.nl
Prof.dr.ir. A. Verbraeck    A.Verbraeck@tudelft.nl
Responsible for assignments
Name E-mail
Dr. E. Pruyt    E.Pruyt@tudelft.nl
Prof.dr.ir. A. Verbraeck    A.Verbraeck@tudelft.nl
Co-responsible for assignments
Name E-mail
Ir. W.L. Auping    W.L.Auping@tudelft.nl
Contact Hours / Week x/x/x/x
0/8/0/0
Education Period
2
Start Education
2
Exam Period
2
3
Course Language
English
Required for
EPA1341 Advanced System Dynamics
EPA1351 Advanced Discrete Simulation
SEN9110 Simulation Masterclass
Expected prior knowledge
Basic knowledge about probability theory, statistics, differential equations and modelling.
Summary
This module introduces the different methods for modelling and simulating complex socio-technical systems. The theory is discussed according to the modelling cycle: conceptualisation, specification, testing, use, and communication of models. The course focusses on the basics of continuous modelling and of discrete modelling.
Course Contents
Continuous part:
In the “continuous part”, students are first introduced, by means of lectures and practical computer labs, to the creation, validation, and use of System Dynamics models. Practical knowledge gained is applied in a real project in which pairs of students develop a model and use it to solve a dynamically complex issue.

Discrete part:
The discrete part of this course teaches the student to create and use models based on discrete-event simulation. The knowledge gained, both theoretical and practical, is applied by working on simulating a socio-technical system in a group.
Study Goals
Continuous part:
Upon completion of the continuous part of the course, the student is able to:
- identify problems for which System Dynamics (and other types of) modelling and simulation is useful;
- properly apply the System Dynamics method;
- build, test and simulate continuous models in Vensim;
- perform basic analyses (scenario/sensitivity/uncertainty analyses and policy analyses…) and report on them
- interpret the outcomes of simulations and use models for thinking about complex problems
- formulate new project plans for System Dynamics studies;
- together with a project partner, perform a supervised project regarding a dynamically complex problem in which all phases of a typical modelling project are visited.

Discrete part:
The student should be able to:
- explain and apply the theory about modeling of socio-technical systems.
- explain and apply different phases in the model development process for discrete simulation models (conceptualization, specification, verification, validation, experimentation, output analysis);
- explain a number of techniques that can be used for discrete simulation (reduction, common random numbers, etc.), know when to use these techniques and be able to apply these techniques.
- use the objects in the standard library of Simio appropriately.
- add animation, graphs and output variables to the Simio model for debugging and communication.
- create models of medium complexity in a limited time.
- analyze an input dataset for simulation models, and prepare this dataset for use in Simio.
- experiment with Simio models, analyze the results with statistical tests and interpret the results.
- participate in a semi-structured simulation project as a member of a group.
Education Method
This course uses three main methods of education:
- lectures for the theoretical aspect of the course
- lab sessions to develop skills for working with the tools
- project to apply the knowledge and skills
Computer Use
Continuous part:
The simulation models will be made with Vensim (and pySD). This program is installed in the computer rooms in the Faculty. Students can obtain a Vensim PRO license for free, both for Windows and for Macs.

Discrete part:
The simulation models will be made with Simio. This program is installed in the computer rooms in the Faculty. Students can obtain licenses for a small annual fee for their own laptops or desktops (Windows only; Mac users can use Parallels or a virtual machine).
Literature and Study Materials
Continuous part:
1) A new e-book: Pruyt, E., 2016. Systems Modelling and Simulation for Everyone: Migration and Refugees. (will be made available on Brightspace)
2) More practicing materials from the previous free e-book: Pruyt, E., 2013. Small System Dynamics Models for Big Issues: Triple Jump towards Real-World Complexity. Delft: TU Delft Library. ISBN/EAN: 978-94-6186-195-5. This e-book is available on Brightspace and can be downloaded from simulation.tbm.tudelft.nl/smallSDmodels/Intro.html
3) Additional material will be made available as necessary on Brightspace

Discrete part:
1) Simio book: Rapid modelling solutions (on-line)
2) Videos on different subjects within the course
3) Additional material will be made available as necessary on Brightspace
Assessment
Continuous part:
The continuous part will be 50% of the total grade of the course. The grade of the continuous part is based on three different assessments: a Multiple Choice test (10%), the second assessment is a practical modelling and simulation test (20%), the third assessment is a group project in which a real life case is tackled by pairs of students by going through the full life cycle of a continuous simulation project using Vensim (20%). The Multiple Choice test (10%) and the practical modelling and simulation test (20%) are part of one and the same exam and retake exam: they are added and entered into Osiris as one exam/retake mark (on 30% of the course). That is, there is compensation between the Multiple Choice test and the practical modelling and simulation test. The exam/retake and the project need to be passed with at least a 5.75 to pass the continuous part of the course. If the total grade on the Multiple Choice test and the practical modelling and simulation test is lower than 5.75, then both the Multiple Choice test and the practical Modelling and Simulation test need to be retaken.

Discrete part:
The grade of the discrete part is based on two different assessments. The discrete part will be 50% of the total grade of the course. All assessments need to be passed with at least a 5.75.
The first assessment is based on a 1.5 hour written test to answer a number of theory questions and application questions for Simio. The test uses both multiple choice and short answer questions (20% of the final mark). The second assessment is based on a group project where a small real life case is tackled by a team of students by going through the full life cycle of a discrete simulation project using Simio (30% of the final mark).
Permitted Materials during Tests
No materials allowed during the written and computer tests, except for a calculator.
Enrolment / Application
Enroll through Brightspace.